Following a review of 40 years of baseball statistics (since 1969), Information Builders, a supplied of business intelligence (BI) solutions, has predicted the winner of this year's Major League Baseball World Series.
"Congratulations are in order for The Los Angeles Dodgers — start planning the parade route and stocking up on those party streamers," said Kevin Quinn, vice president of product marketing at Information Builders. "Although I'm from New York, I'm not a Yankee fan. I'm actually a Met fan, so I'm happy to congratulate a National League team."
Using key cumulative team statistics such as winning percentage, runs scored, batting average, total extra base hits, earned run average and fielding percentage, Information Builders was able to predict The Los Angeles Dodgers will defeat The Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim in the 2009 Fall Classic.
To come up with their prediction, Information Builders analyzed 40 years of baseball statistics from all of the teams that made the playoffs. RStat determined which combination of statistics for each year that was most significant in determining a winner. The company then created the scoring routine and applied it to the same statistics for the eight teams that made the playoffs this year.
The final predictive model that was used showed that the Dodgers, Angels and Yankees had the highest probability of winning. Although the probabilities were close, the Dodgers did have a slight edge over the Angels and Yankees. These three were nearly twice as likely to win than the remaining five teams.
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