New issue of IJF

The International Journal of Forecasting is a leading journal in the field fo Forecasting. It is the official publication of the International Institute of Forecasters (IIF) and shares its aims and scope. Volume 25,  Issue 4 holds a special section on Decision making and planning under low levels of predictability.

 

New Volume/Issue is now available on ScienceDirect

International Journal of Forecasting

International Journal of Forecasting

Volume 25, Issue 4,  Pages 639-850 (October-December 2009)

Special section: Decision making and planning under low levels of predictability
Edited by Spyros Makridakis and Nassim Taleb

 

 

1.

Editorial Board
Page iii

  Sir Clive Granger

2.

Sir Clive W. J. Granger (1934-2009)
Pages 639-641
Graham Elliott

  Forecasting economic and financial variables with Global VARs

3.

Forecasting economic and financial variables with global VARs
Pages 642-675
M. Hashem Pesaran, Til Schuermann, L. Vanessa Smith

4.

Comments on "Forecasting economic and financial variables with global VARs"
Pages 676-679
P. Geoffrey Allen

5.

Comments on "Forecasting economic and financial variables with global VARs"
Pages 680-683
Michael P. Clements

6.

Comments on "Forecasting economic and financial variables with global VARs"
Pages 684-686
Domenico Giannone, Lucrezia Reichlin

7.

Comments on "Forecasting economic and financial variables with global VARs"
Pages 687-688
Clive W.J. Granger

8.

Comments on "Forecasting economic and financial variables with global VARs"
Pages 689-692
Kajal Lahiri

9.

Forecast evaluation of AveAve forecasts in the global VAR context
Pages 693-696
Tara M. Sinclair, H.O. Stekler

10.

Comments on "Forecasting economic and financial variables with global VARs"
Pages 697-702
Norman R. Swanson

11.

Rejoinder to comments on forecasting economic and financial variables with global VARs
Pages 703-715
M. Hashem Pesaran, Til Schuermann, L. Vanessa Smith

  Decision making and planning under low levels of predictability

12.

Decision making and planning under low levels of predictability
Pages 716-733
Spyros Makridakis, Nassim Taleb

13.

System economics: Overcoming the pitfalls of forecasting models via a multidisciplinary approach
Pages 734-743
David Orrell, Patrick McSharry

14.

Errors, robustness, and the fourth quadrant
Pages 744-759
Nassim Nicholas Taleb

15.

Fast and frugal forecasting
Pages 760-772
Daniel G. Goldstein, Gerd Gigerenzer

16.

Limits to forecasting in personalized medicine: An overview
Pages 773-783
John P.A. Ioannidis

17.

Diagnoses by general practitioners: Accuracy and reliability
Pages 784-793
Waltraud Fink, Vilen Lipatov, Martin Konitzer

18.

Forecasting and uncertainty in the economic and business world
Pages 794-812
Spyros Makridakis, Robin M. Hogarth, Anil Gaba

19.

Decision making and planning under low levels of predictability: Enhancing the scenario method
Pages 813-825
George Wright, Paul Goodwin

20.

Validity of climate change forecasting for public policy decision making
Pages 826-832
Kesten C. Green, J. Scott Armstrong, Willie Soon

21.

Diagnostics cannot have much power against general alternatives
Pages 833-839
David A. Freedman

22.

Living in a world of low levels of predictability
Pages 840-844
Spyros Makridakis, Nassim Taleb

23.

Keyword Index Volume 25 (2009)
Pages 845-847

24.

Author Index Voulme 25 (2009): (The issue number is given in parenthesis)
Pages 848-850