Using the structured analogies forecasting method that they have developed, Kesten Green and Scott Armstrong have concluded that alarm over “dangerous manmade global warming” is the latest example of a common social phenomenon involving…
Using the structured analogies forecasting method that they have developed, Kesten Green and Scott Armstrong have concluded that alarm over “dangerous manmade global warming” is the latest example of a common social phenomenon involving alarming but unscientific forecasts that prove to be wrong. More information about their global warming analogies forecasting project is available on the Public Policy Forecasting Special Interest Group pages here (http://www.forecastingprinciples.com/index.php?option=com_content task=view id=78 Itemid=130#History_shows_manmade_global_warming_to_be_false).
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