Forecasting the result of the U.S. Midterm Elections

Since early September, Alfred Cuzán ( has been applying the skills of Polly, the election-forecasting parrot, to predicting the outcome of the U.S. midterm elections. Polly is a colorful and vocal ambassador for the important evidence-based principle that one … should combine forecasts from diverse methods and independent forecasters in order to improve accuracy. Polly's successes are legend ( To avoid being left behind, check out the latest news on Polly's predictions at (, and the latest forecasts on the 2010 midterm elections here (