It’s possible to get better at forecasting. Research offers some insights into the factors that make a difference to become a “super forecaster”.
Tag: research
Complexity increases forecast error
Complex models are more popular than simple ones among researchers, forecasters, and clients. The popularity of complexity may be due to incentives.
New Forecasting Papers: Forecasting Profitability
In this issue we have: Forecasting Profitability; Monetary policy expectations; Estimation Errors and Prediction Errors; and Prediction of Macroeconomic Performance in Pacific Island Countries.
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