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New Method Predicts Which Women Will Get Pregnant
Friday, 04 July 2008

Researchers at the Stanford University School of Medicine have identified a method that can predict with 70 percent accuracy whether a woman undergoing in vitro fertilization treatment will become pregnant.

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Obama a shoo-in, forecasting models say
Thursday, 03 July 2008

Forget about the Rev. Jeremiah Wright or John McCain's war record. If you tell me how the economy is doing now, I'll tell you who will be president next January. Unfortunately for John McCain's chances, the economy is very weak, and almost everything else is going against him as well, which means Barack Obama will almost certainly be elected president.

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Forecasting the global shortage of physicians
Wednesday, 02 July 2008

Using the most updated information on the supply of physicians over a 20-year period, the size of the future global need for, demand for and supply of physicians is projected to 2015, the target date for the Millennium Development Goals.

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Sulpicio Lines files case for 'faulty forecasting'
Tuesday, 01 July 2008

Sulpicio Lines filed a civil case against the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) and two of its officials for "gross negligence and incompetence" in forecasting the path of typhoon Frank, which it blamed for the sinking of its ship M/V Princess of the Stars.

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New Forecasting papers 2008-06-30
Monday, 30 June 2008

In this issue we have: Forecasting with the age-period-cohort model and the extended chain-ladder model ; Stubborn Sell-Side Stock Analysts ; Interest Rate Forecasts ; On Forecasting Daily Stock Volatility ; The Role of Implied Volatility in Forecasting ; Forecasting Bankruptcy and Physical Default Intensity.

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The end of forecasting?
Friday, 27 June 2008

Or could we simply be at the end of forecasting’s beginning – with unforeseen potential ahead? Thornton May, Executive Director and Dean at the IT Leadership Academy, discusses the idea that forecasting, as we know it, is coming to an end.

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Segmentation Drives Need For New Adify Forecasting Module
Thursday, 26 June 2008

Vertical ad network management company Adify is expected to launch an inventory forecasting module for vertical ad network builders to predict supply and demand across the publishers in their networks.

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Predictive Analytics Brings Nevada Community College Award
Wednesday, 25 June 2008
SPSS was recognized by industry analyst firm Nucleus Research for providing the technological advancements that led to Truckee Meadows Community College (TMCC) winning a 2008 Nucleus Research Technology ROI Award.
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New Forecasting Papers - 2008-06-24
Tuesday, 24 June 2008

In this issue we have: An Hourly Periodic State Space Model for Modelling French National Electricity Load ; Forecasting Random Walks Under Drift Instability ; Short-term forecasting of GDP using large monthly datasets - a pseudo real-time forecast evaluation exercise ;Partial Likelihood-Based Scoring Rules for Evaluating Density Forecasts in Tails ; Diachronic Behaviour of the OECD Forecasts for Greece ; and more.

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Special issues of IJF
Monday, 23 June 2008

The International Journal of Forecasting (IJF) is a leading journal in the field of Forecasting and is an official publication of the International Institute of Forecasters. There will be special issues of IJF on Tourism Forecasting and Forecasting with artificial neural networks and computational intelligence.

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Upcoming Events

July
International Symposium on Business and Industrial Statistics, Prague, Czech Republic
July 1 - 04, 2008

3rd Workshop on Prediction Markets, Chicago, USA
July 7, 2008

18th Conference International Federation of Operational Research Societies, Sandton, South Africa
July 13 - 17, 2008

Demand Planning seminar, Waltham MA, USA
July 17, 2008

Forecast Pro Workshop, Boston, USA
July 21 - 22, 2008

Demand Forecasting Workshop 2008, Shanghai, China
July 29 - 30, 2008

5th China Demand Forecasting Summit 2008, Shanghai, China
July 31 - August 01, 2008
August
CPDF Certification Workshop, Paris, France
August 27 - 29, 2008
September
Sales Forecasting Executive Roundtable, Knoxville, USA
September 3 - 05, 2008

CPDF Certification Workshop, Mexico City, Mexico
September 3 - 04, 2008

Business Forecasting & Planning Excellence, Las Vegas, USA
September 8 - 10, 2008

CPDF Certification Workshop, Las Vegas, USA
September 9 - 10, 2008

Forecasting Summit 2008, Boston MA, USA
September 15 - 17, 2008

European Symposium on Time Series Prediction, Porvoo, Finland
September 17 - 19, 2008

20th European Modeling and Simulation Symposium, Briatico, Italy
September 17 - 19, 2008
October
Pharma Forecasting Excellence Summit, Boston, USA
October 2 - 03, 2008

CPDF Certification Workshop, Boston, USA
October 2 - 03, 2008

CPDF Certification Workshop, Tokyo, Japan
October 8 - 09, 2008

CPDF Certification Workshop, Amsterdam, Netherlands
October 14 - 15, 2008

CPDF Certification Workshop, Philadelphia, USA
October 23 - 24, 2008

European Futurists Conference, Lucerne, Switzerland
October 27 - 28, 2008
June
29th International Symposium on Forecasting, Kowloon, Hong Kong
June 22 - 24, 2009

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