In this issue we have: Flow on conjunctural information and forecast of euro area economic activity ; Federal Reserve Information during the Great Moderation ; Treating missing values in INAR(1) models ; The Jump component of S&P 500 volatility and the VIX index R ; Do high-frequency measures of volatility improve forecasts of return distributions?

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Advances in supply chain planning over the last couple of decades have provided companies with the ability to shape not only demand, but also supply. By leveraging solutions in strategic planning, inventory optimization, demand management and...

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TradeVibes Startup Exchange is the first predictive market around private companies that leverages the wisdom of the crowds to determine the valuation of these companies. The price of each company on the Startup Exchange reflects that community's belief about the valuation of the company.

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A historian with an interest in politics found himself seated next to a Soviet geophysicist and mathematician who studied earthquake prediction. The two researchers figured out that the science of forecasting earthquakes offered an important insight into presidential elections.

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A cure for the virus that causes AIDS may still be beyond our grasp, but European researchers have developed a predictive software system for HIV that could help extend the lives of victims of the killer disease.

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Students of the Monash University noted that the time series and forecasting material on Wikipedia was particularly poor, often being inaccurate or non-existent. They decided to set up their own forecasting wiki site which anyone on the research team can contribute to.

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The International Symposium on Forecasting (ISF) is a forecasting conference attracting the world's leading forecasting researchers, practitioners, and students. The ISF provides many opportunities for networking, learning, and fun. The latest edition took place in June 2008 in Nice, France.

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The International Journal of Forecasting (IJF) is a leading journal in the field of Forecasting. It is the official publication of the International Institute of Forecasters (IIF) and shares its aims and scope. The latest issue of the IJF is now out.

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A case study of the 2004 U.S. Presidential election by researchers at Yale shows that prediction markets are proving to be a strong forecasting tool, one that may have an impact in calling the current presidential contest between Democrat Senator Barack Obama and Republican Senator John McCain.

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The scope of forecasting is changing rapidly and it is becoming even more challenging to present accurate forecasts in the fast-paced pharmaceutical environment. Following the success of their Total Market Forecasting conferences, VIBevents is pleased to announce the 9th Annual Total Market Forecasting in Pharma Europe conference.

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