AppliedForecasting.com

Multivariate exponential smoothing for forecasting tourist arrivals to Australia and New Zealand

Monday, 22 February 2010
In this paper we propose a new set of multivariate stochastic models that capture time varying seasonality within the vector innovations structural time series (VISTS) framework. These models encapsulate exponential smoothing methods in a multivariate... Be first to comment this article

Seasonality, Forecast Extensions and Business Cycle Uncertainty

Sunday, 21 February 2010
Seasonality is one of the most important features of economic time series. The possibility to abstract from seasonality for the assessment of economic conditions is a widely debated issue. In this paper we propose a strategy for assessing the role of... Be first to comment this article

Accenture and SAS Plan to Jointly Develop, Implement and Manage Next-Generation Predictive...

Wednesday, 17 February 2010
SAS and Accenture expand a partnership that jointly invests in the development of solutions focused on industry-specific predictive analytics applications. Be first to comment this article

SAS partners in defining state and local government IT excellence

Wednesday, 17 February 2010
SAS will lend its analytics expertise to shape the Digital States Performance Instituteâ€™s biannual â€œDigital States Surveyâ€, a benchmarking tool for states which helps them drive innovation in government. Be first to comment this article

Autobox Reviewed by OR/MS Today

Wednesday, 17 February 2010

Automatic Forecasting Systems (AFS) launched in 1976 as the first-to-market Forecasting & Time Series analysis software. Autobox is AFS's flagship product, providing cutting edge forecasting for the PC desktop for 33 years.

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Estimating obsolescence risk from demand data - a case study

Wednesday, 17 February 2010
In this paper obsolescence of service parts is analyzed in a practical environment. Based on the analysis, we propose a method that can be used to estimate the risk of obsolescence of service parts. The method distinguishes groups of service parts. For... Be first to comment this article

SASÂ® Text Analytics reveals new insights in stored documents

Tuesday, 16 February 2010
Companies use SAS to analyze unstructured data and understand customers, market opportunities, internal operations and supply chains. Be first to comment this article

Forthcoming IIF certified courses for demand forecasters

Tuesday, 16 February 2010
IIF certified courses for demand forecasters, planners, and managers in supply chain organizations. Two-day hands-on workshops will be conducted in San Diego (Feb 23-24), Amsterdam (Mar 9-10), Istanbul (Apr 12-13), and Sao Paulo (May 18-19). Contact... Be first to comment this article

Forecasts with single-equation Markov-switching model: an application to the gross domestic...

Sunday, 14 February 2010
The paper compares one-period ahead forecasting performance of linear vector-autoregressive (VAR) models and single-equation Markov-switching (MS) models for two cases: when leading information is available and when it is not. The results show that... Be first to comment this article

Principles of Forecasting book

Friday, 12 February 2010
Full-text papers available for some of the Priniciples of Forecasting book. The original plan was to make the chapters available for sale. This plan is still underway but is moving slowly. While waiting, Scott Armstrong is posting the nine papers that... Comments (1)

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